Ok, first hand. In the blog. And in the tournament.
Table TURBO NLH Heads Up 50 237747401 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 3: Hero ( $1500.00 USD )
Seat 8: Villain ( $1500.00 USD )
Hero posts small blind [$10.00 USD].
Villain posts big blind [$20.00 USD].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ 6c 7h ]
Hero raises to [$60.00 USD]
Villain calls [$60.00 USD]
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6d, 4h, 5d ] Pot: 120
Villain checks
Hero bets [$100.00 USD]
Villain raises to [$420.00 USD]
Eeew. First hand and he's flippin c/r'd me. Trouble is, I've hit this pretty damn hard aswell. He's a decent aggro oppoenent, and since its the first hand, lets say he's only doing this with a real hand. Overpairs, Straights, Pairs + OESDs, FD's at least J high, sets, 2 pair. All that gives me an Equity of 43% on the flop
with The Formula, that makes
640*f + (1-f)*[3000*0.43 - 1340] > 0
640*f + (1-f)*[-50] > 0
640*f - 50 + 50*f > 0
690*f > 50
f > 50/690 = 7.24%
So yeah, no way I'm folding that even vs a tight range. He only has to fold 7% of the time to make it profitable, which i can see happening. Well, either that or him having junk and feeling cocky.
Hero raises to [$1440.00 USD]
Villain calls [$1020.00 USD]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 3h ]
** Dealing River ** [ 9h ]
Hero wins $3000.00 USD from main pot
Villain shows [5s, 4s ]
December 17, 2008
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